The Washington Stock Exchange

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wsxWhen there is money at stake, people tend to be more calculative and careful in critical decision making, this human psyche is collectively harnessed to predict future political outcomes by Washington Stock Exchange. The way it works is quite simple, anyone can sign up for free and receive W$1,000,000 Washington dollars (not real of course) to start trading in stocks linked to uncertain political outcomes. You buy and sell stocks based on your opinion about likelihood of the underlying event. The resulting price corresponds to the probability that it will happen, according to the collective wisdom of the market. According to the site, by harvesting the collective intelligence of all the traders, the market generates very accurate forecasts about the events in question.

This is not just a great concept but something I personally urge everyone try, this in a way is the democratic back channel process that not only predicts potential outcome, but also help those in policy making steer key legislation to make it favorable to the collective for a change.

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  1. 1. how to make fast cash | July 27, 2008 #

    Love that info. After reading your blog I now understand “online stock trading site”. Thank For the great post!

  1. 2. Benjamin lee | July 28, 2008 #

    In my opinion, if the stock market rally up during an event doesn’t really mean that the overall outlook for the event is positive. There are many reasons of why the stock market rally and one of it is to sell or dump their shares to the general public. If the stock market rally up for the big investors to sell then the outlook is negative.

  1. 3. Index Options Trader | August 16, 2008 #

    I think we just have to see who wins the Presidential election based on trading. Majority will in my guess. The markets reflect people’s choices and collective thinking.

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